Winter 2025–26 Reanalysis: A Blocky Pattern That Nearly Delivered

As forecasters, it’s always important to conduct seasonal reanalysis — not just to see what happened, but to understand why it happened and where expectations aligned or diverged from reality. Heading into winter 2025–26, there were strong signals for a blocked pattern across the Northern Hemisphere. In many respects, that signal verified. However, while the season came close to delivering a classic UK winter, it ultimately fell just short of being remembered as one. So what went right — and what didn’t? A Strongly Blocked Hemisphere The 500 hPa height…

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